Thursday, August 2, 2007

What does an investor do to make money when indexes drop


Sometimes it can be a very difficult task to determine the optimal way to profit from a decline in the overall market. So, what should an investor do to make money when the indexes drop? Or what should one do to protect the gains they've already made without selling their investments and possibly getting a tax bill?

Options, such as puts, are one way. But if you guess wrong, you could lose your money in a relatively short period of time. Shorting stocks is another method. However, that can be riskier than buying options, as the losses can exceed your initial investment.

Reverse market mutual funds might be a solution. They offer professional management and may be safer than investing in options or shorting the market. However, these funds are not for the faint of heart. Long-term investors can get caught off guard and burned by a bullish rally. And expenses can be high.

Two Types
Reverse market funds, also known as bear market funds or short-funds, come in two different investment styles - reverse index and actively managed. Both are meant to make money only when the market goes down.

Reverse index
A reverse index fund is designed to go up when the index it follows drops. So, for example, if the index loses 2%, the fund's Net Assets Value (NAV) should rise 2% before fees and expenses. Some funds use leverage to magnify the impact of your investment by paying a multiple of the index's decline. For instance, if the fund will pay double the index's drop, and the index it follows loses 10%, the fund could earn 20%.

By taking an inverse position that corresponds to twice the daily drop in the index, you can hedge your long positions for half the amount of money. Then you might take the other half of your cash and put it in a money market fund, giving you the ability to increase your hedge down the road.


Reverse index funds follow just about every index out there, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, S&P Madcap 400, DJIA, Dow Jones U.S. Financial Index, Dow Jones Precious Metals Index, Dow U.S. Real Estate Index and Nikkei 225 Stock Average..

And there are even funds that inversely track oil, natural gas and currency indexes. So you can focus as broadly or narrowly as you wish.

High Expenses
Because reverse market funds might frequently trade holdings to take advantage of quick market declines, fees and expenses can be higher than with traditional funds. You could, of course, take the short position yourself and not use a fund with its associated expenses. But keep in mind that a reverse market fund:

  • Does not require that you open a margin account to hold short positions
  • Will never cost you more than your initial investment
  • Can be owned by your retirement account
Conclusion:

Reverse market funds can reduce your exposure to the market without selling the securities you own and taking taxable gains. You may even win big when the markets tumble, or you could earn back prior market losses. However, these funds - especially those that use leverage to magnify potential returns - can lose money quickly in market rallies, and are best used to regulate portfolio risk.

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